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2024-12-13 05:02:15
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Let's take a look at the news first. Yesterday morning, "Three major events affecting A shares over the weekend: official media released positive signals!" The CSRC will make major adjustments! In the article, Jun Ge made a detailed analysis of several major events on the weekend news. This past weekend, although there were many news events at home and abroad, it was only a mixed situation in the end, which would not have much impact on the market trend this Monday. Therefore, today's A-share market and GEM index are both flat, not significantly higher or lower.Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!


This past weekend, Xinhua News Agency issued three articles focusing on the analysis of monetary policy, fiscal policy and the future direction of real estate policy. As one of the most important official media, Xinhua News Agency published a large number of similar articles on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference, which had to make people think more!From these two sets of inflation data and the PMI data released in November, we can see that in recent months, although high-level officials have continuously introduced a large number of measures to stabilize the economy, the recovery speed of China's economic fundamentals is not fast. As a result, many investors will question whether we can successfully complete the economic growth target set by the top management at the beginning of the year in the fourth quarter.Of course, everything has its two sides. The disadvantages of flat economic data are obvious, so what are the benefits? Combined with the current policy environment of the whole market, everyone should be able to guess!


It is worth noting that this meeting not only released the above two reassurances, but also focused on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. The operating environment of the A-share market next year will probably not be bad.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!

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